Yankees-Mets: Which New York team is the best bet to win the 2022 World Series?

Both New York baseball teams have been the stars of the standings this season. The Mets are 78-44 and hold a four-game lead in the NL East despite the Braves’ surge since early June. The Mets have been in first place every day but one this season, when they were outscored 3-2. The Yankees are 74-48 and in first place in the AL East since April 27th. At one point, they had a 15 1/2 game lead. They have fallen on hard times over the last month but still have an eight-game lead.

The two teams will face off Monday and Tuesday in their second and final regular season series in 2022. New Yorkers and TV executives might start to wonder if this is a World Series preview. It would be the second “Subway Series”, after 2000.

Of course, the Mets have to contend with the Braves in their division and possibly the mighty Dodgers in the NLCS. The Yankees will probably have to eventually learn how to beat the Astros, if they’re even able to get there.

Obviously, it’s an incredibly difficult path for either team to win the World Series, but I’ve been tasked with seeing which one I’d rather bet on.

Odds of winning the World Series

Odds via Caesars Sportsbook.

  • Dodgers +350
  • Astros +400
  • Yankees +450
  • Puts +475
  • Braus +1100

I listed the top five teams just as a point of reference, but the task here is to see if the Mets or Yankees would be a better choice at this point.

The case of the Yankees

The Bronx Bombers are living up to that moniker this season, leading the league in home runs and walks scored. Giancarlo Stanton is coming back from injury, and when healthy, the Yankees can field a seriously intimidating lineup with Andrew Benintendi and DJ LeMahieu manning the boards (probably with one in the nine hole and the other up front) for Aaron. Judge, Anthony Rizzo, Stanton, Gleyber Torres and Josh Donaldson. It’s the kind of lineup that could put up a few crooked numbers per game in the playoffs, and we’ve seen three-run homers turn the series around.

Assuming the Yankees get Luis Severino back and find a way to fit Frankie Montas, the playoff rotation with Gerrit Cole, Nestor Cortes, Montas and Severino has great potential. Or maybe the Yankees use Jameson Taillon in a rotation spot and let Severino do his thing in relief.

The bullpen has been a problem for weeks, but you can figure out a path to a dominant setup in the playoffs. Let’s just say Clay Holmes, Aroldis Chapman, Wandy Peralta, Scott Effross, Lou Trivino, Ron Marinaccio and Severino are all in their prime. This would give Aaron Boone an arsenal with a wide variety of different types of weapons.

Simply put, the best version of the Yankees is a team that can do serious damage in the playoffs and take home the title.

Of course, they haven’t been their best for about six weeks.

The case of the Mets

Chris Bassitt is an All-Star caliber pitcher who has finished in the top 10 Cy Young voting twice. He is 7-3 with a 2.11 ERA in his last 11 starts and is 4-0 with a 0.69 ERA in four starts in August.

He would be the Mets’ third starter in a playoff series, following elite aces Jacob deGrom and Max Scherzer. Maybe Carlos Carrasco returns from his injury in time to be #4 or maybe it’s Taijuan Walker. Regardless, the Mets likely have the best playoff rotation.

Oh, and in the back of the bullpen awaits the best closer in baseball, Edwin Diaz. He is now 28-for-31 in save chances with a 1.46 ERA, 0.89 WHIP and 97 strikeouts in 49 1/3 innings.

The Mets also have a solid lineup with superstars Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor as the backbone. Starling Marte, Jeff McNeil and Brandon Nimmo are having very good seasons. Mark Canha is as good as lower third hitters get. Daniel Vogelbach has also been a revelation at DH.

It always comes down to who plays well when it matters most, but looking at the Mets, they have all the ingredients to win it all. They have two aces and the playoff rotation will likely be filled with All-Stars. They have an almost automatic closure. They have a deep offense that doesn’t rely on the long ball while also being able to come up with clutch game-changing bombs.

I’m bullish on the Mets.

The selection

I go with the Mets and it was not a difficult choice. The Dodgers are the only team I’d take ahead of the Mets right now and I don’t mind taking the Mets over the Dodgers. This is the most complete Mets team in a long time.

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